The U.S. presidential election has become so obscure we may not know who’s going to win for weeks afterwards. Its dynamics are unbelievably murky: John Kerry looks weak in some states (Michigan and Hawaii) that should portend a Republican landslide, yet is doing well in others (Ohio and Pennsylvania) that should have Mr. Bush packing for the ranch.
For what it is worth, I still predict a fairly solid Bush victory, based on the children’s and Halloween mask polls among other things. But it’s not the only election on Nov. 2, and may not be the most interesting one.
Americans are also voting for one-third of the Senate and the entire House of Representatives, as they do every two years. Odds are long that the Republicans will regain control of both Houses of Congress, in which case a President Kerry would be unable to implement most of whatever his agenda is meant to be. The president proposes, but Congress disposes (and the nation dozes, as the old saying goes). So George Bush couldn’t bring back the draft even if he wanted to, as the U.S. Constitution vests such legislative matters in, of all things, the legislature. Continue Reading →
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